🎲 Honkai: Star Rail pity calculator
How many more pulls until you get it? Enter your current pity and resources to get the exact chance of pulling the featured character using the official rates.
🧮 Your current status
Results
Official rates only Includes soft pity (player community statistics, unofficial)Enter your Stellar Jade and pull tickets to see your chance with what you have now.
| Chance | Needed | In Stellar Jade | Still needed | Approx. TWD |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Average (expected) | 104.5 pulls | 16.7K | 16.7K | — |
| 50% chance | 90 pulls | 14.4K | 14.4K | — |
| 90% chance | 180 pulls | 28.8K | 28.8K | — |
| 100% (worst case) | 180 pulls | 28.8K | 28.8K | — |
"Still needed" = Stellar Jade you need beyond what you already have. TWD is estimated at about NT$ per pull; actual cost depends on the top-up package.
📋 Rate rules and assumptions
- Official Base 5★ rate per pull is 0.6%; a 5★ is guaranteed by pull 90 at the latest (pity).
- Official A 5★ has a 50% chance of being featured; after losing the 50/50, the next 5★ is guaranteed featured.
- Official One pull costs 160 Stellar Jade.
- Player community statistics, unofficial Soft pity: from pull 74, the rate rises by 6% per pull (about 6.6% at pull 74, about 96.6% at pull 89); only applied when "Include soft pity" is on.
The rate details published in-game take precedence.
How it is calculated
- The probability of every state (current pity, guarantee, copies obtained) is computed pull by pull (a Markov chain), so the values are exact, not a random simulation.
- Each pull is independent; pity and the guarantee carry over, starting from the status you entered.
- Your Stellar Jade balance is converted to pulls (rounded down) and added to your tickets to get the pulls you can make now; pulls you may earn or exchange later are not included.
- "Average" is the expected value; "worst case" assumes every drop comes at pity and every 50/50 is lost.
- Special mechanics outside the banner rules (such as Genshin Impact's "Capturing Radiance" since version 5.0) are not included, so actual results may be slightly better than calculated.
💡 Decide your budget for this banner before pulling, and don't overspend chasing pity. If you're under 18, get a parent's permission before topping up.
FAQ
What is the pity on Honkai: Star Rail Character Event Warp?
The 5★ base rate on Character Event Warp is 0.6%, and a 5★ is guaranteed within 90 pulls (pity). When you get a 5★, there is a 50% chance it is the featured character (the "50/50"). If you lose the 50/50, your next 5★ is guaranteed to be the featured character, so you will get the featured character within 180 pulls at most. These are the officially published rules; the in-game rate details always take precedence.
How many pulls does it take on average to get the featured character in Honkai: Star Rail?
Using only the official rates, starting from 0 pity without a guarantee, it takes about 104.5 pulls on average to get 1 featured character; there is a 50% chance within 90 pulls and a 90% chance within 180 pulls. With the soft pity from player community statistics (unofficial), the average is about 93.4 pulls.
Does Honkai: Star Rail have soft pity?
Soft pity has not been officially published. Player communities analyzing large numbers of pull records found that from around pull 74, the 5★ rate increases by about 6% per pull, so most 5★ drops happen between pulls 74 and 90. This is an unofficial figure from player community statistics. The calculator does not apply it by default, but you can turn it on to compare.
How many pulls for 7 copies of the featured character (including duplicates) in Honkai: Star Rail?
Starting from 0 pity without a guarantee, the worst case is 1,260 pulls, the average is about 731.8 pulls, and there is a 90% chance within 902 pulls. At 160 Stellar Jade per pull, that is about 117.1K Stellar Jade on average.